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Reducing RISK, Protecting PEOPLE, PLANET, PLANT, PRODUCTION, PRODUCT & PROFILE

May 15, 2017

Thanks to everyone who visited the CGE stand at Hazards27 last week and commiserations to those who tried (and failed) to win my Swiss Cheese model.

Basically we asked (gullible) attendees to throw 3 ten-sided dice and if they managed to get all showing a 0 then we coul...

January 22, 2017

I've just watched neuroscientist Dr Daniel J. Levitin talk about information bias and warning us against being too sceptical or too gullible about the data ("news") we receive.

On the show he gave the simple example of the importance of margin of error in statistics by...

May 20, 2015

Inspired by a lively demonstration of human event trees at IChemE Hazards25, I dug out my 10-sided dice that I previously used to explain LOPA in a simple way to my colleagues as follows:

  • INITIATING EVENT: 2 white dice can be 00 to 99 (1 in 100 years frequency)

  • ...
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